Anthracite Coal Price Trend and Forecast

Anthracite Coal Regional Price Overview

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Anthracite Coal in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa).

 

Anthracite Coal Price Trend for the Year 2024

Asia

Throughout 2024, anthracite coal prices in the Asia-Pacific region showed notable volatility. The first quarter began with downward pressure as abundant stockpiles in China and India suppressed prices. Chinese markets struggled with surging domestic production while demand remained tepid. By the second quarter, the market recovered with moderate price increases, driven by higher industrial demand and inventory replenishment before summer.
 

Anthracite Coal Price Chart

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The third quarter saw a slight downward correction as supply improved, though Japan experienced a modest uptick against regional trends due to Australian logistics issues. The year closed with stabilization as China's strategic purchasing and India's pre-festive season buying balanced typical year-end slowdowns. Throughout 2024, buyers maintained minimal inventories and used tactical purchasing strategies in response to market uncertainty.

Europe

European anthracite coal markets faced persistent downward pressure throughout 2024 as the region accelerated its energy transition. The first quarter established this trend with declining prices due to warmer weather and weak industrial demand. This bearish sentiment continued despite occasional seasonal fluctuations. Substantial existing inventories easily met limited demand, while EU carbon pricing and renewable energy targets further eroded coal's market position. The third quarter brought slight price volatility from supply constraints, but the fundamental downward trend persisted. By the fourth quarter, the decline moderated as utilities increasingly shifted toward natural gas and renewable alternatives.

North America

The North American anthracite coal market displayed a complex pattern in 2024, alternating between strength and weakness. The year began with declining prices due to warmer weather forecasts and reduced domestic demand. The second quarter brought significant improvement as export opportunities to Asia expanded and domestic inventories tightened. This upward momentum continued through summer with seasonal electricity demand supporting prices. The fourth quarter reversed this trend as demand from power generation and steel production weakened considerably.

Future Outlook

According to Procurement Resource, some short-term price volatility in Anthracite Coal market would likely persist from seasonal factors and supply disruptions. However, the long-term trajectory is pointing downward with renewable energy expansion and natural gas competition intensifying across all major markets.
 

Anthracite Coal Price Trend for the Second Half of 2023

Asia

In the second half of 2023, anthracite coal prices in Asia displayed a mixed trend. The third quarter witnessed a notable price escalation, particularly in Australia compared to China, driven by heightened industrial demand. China's domestic market experienced steady growth in coal consumption despite environmental concerns. By the fourth quarter, Asian coal imports reached record levels with China leading at over 32 million tons.

However, price increases remained minimal despite this surge in demand, largely due to increased exports from Indonesia and Australia flooding Asian markets. India strategically diversified its supplier base, turning to alternatives like South Africa and Japan, which helped maintain market balance.

Europe

European anthracite coal markets struggled throughout the second half of 2023. The third quarter saw some price support from increased overseas interest and rising domestic electricity demand, but this momentum failed to sustain into the fourth quarter. By year-end, European coal faced significant downward pressure as consumers contracted their purchasing activities amid sliding economic conditions.

The energy sector remained volatile as countries navigated economic challenges. Market oversupply became evident as ports received excessive vessel arrivals while domestic inventories were already abundant. This combination of high supply and tepid demand kept prices trending downward throughout the fourth quarter.

North America

North American anthracite coal markets showed strength in the third quarter, owing to increased procurement from both the electricity sector and overseas industries. The positive market outlook in Asia-Pacific and European regions initially helped drive North American exports and supported higher prices. However, this trend reversed in the fourth quarter as demand softened considerably.

Milder weather forecasts in both the US and Europe reduced energy needs, while persistent market oversupply and manufacturers' reluctance to cut production rates weighed heavily on prices. Additionally, competition from South African coal imports and declining pet coke prices further pressured the North American anthracite market.

Future Outlook

According to Procurement Resource, Anthracite Coal prices are expected to continue facing downward pressure in early 2024, with any potential recovery highly dependent on derivative product demand such as naphtha and natural gas.
 

Anthracite Coal Price Trend for the First Half of 2023

Asia

In the Asia Pacific region, the anthracite coal market faced significant contraction due to weak demand and the mounting pressure of increasing currency exchange rates in the midst of struggling economic conditions.

During the first and second quarters, mining activities accelerated, leading to a surplus of anthracite coal in the market. However, the downstream industries did not generate enough demand to absorb this excess supply. Furthermore, the opening of several new mines exacerbated the oversupply issue, causing a notable decline in anthracite coal prices in the region.

Europe

The fluctuating consumer purchasing patterns and an abundance of anthracite coal supply in European nations hindered the upward trajectory of anthracite coal prices. In the first quarter, decreasing energy prices and a shortage of labor contributed to the decline in anthracite coal prices.

The second quarter saw a significant drop in prices, particularly in May. European countries began shifting toward more environmentally sustainable anthracite coal substitutes, leading to a decrease in new orders and, consequently, a widespread decline in anthracite coal prices during the second quarter of 2023.

North America

The anthracite coal market in North America experienced a consistent problem of surplus product availability throughout the first and second quarters of 2023. Despite weak demand, mining and extraction activities continued to expand, exacerbating the oversupply issue. Towards the end of the quarter, the downstream market activities, especially in the steel and power production industries, lent support to the anthracite coal market. With a surge in electricity demand, anthracite coal prices stabilized in the latter part of the second quarter.

Analyst Insight

According to Procurement Resource, the price trend of Anthracite Coal is expected to witness an inclining trajectory. The major contributing factors in this overturn of the existing trend are estimated to be the surge in electricity production activities and the strengthening of supply chains.

Procurement Resource provides latest prices of Anthracite Coal. Each price database is tied to a user-friendly graphing tool dating back to 2014, which provides a range of functionalities: configuration of price series over user defined time period; comparison of product movements across countries; customisation of price currencies and unit; extraction of price data as excel files to be used offline.